SCIENTIFIC AND METHODOLOGICAL APPROACHES TO ASSESSING THE CONSEQUENCES OF EARTHQUAKE-RELATED EMERGENCIES

Abstract

Turkestan region is one of the seismically active zones and has a high risk of strong earthquakes. In this regard, the scientific assessment of the consequences of emergency situations caused by earthquakes is an urgent problem. The purpose of the study is to substantiate scientific and methodological approaches to determining areas of destruction and damage in the case of possible 7-8-point scenario earthquakes and a comprehensive assessment of their consequences.

The study took into account such key factors as the geological and seismic features of the region, the terrain, the state of the building stock, engineering infrastructure and population density. Statistical analysis methods, geographical information systems and cartographic modeling were used as the scientific and methodological basis. These approaches made it possible to spatially assess the possible effects of earthquakes and clarify the danger zones.

The results of the study showed a high level of seismic risk in certain territories of the Turkestan region. Especially in regions with densely populated housing construction and a concentration of socially significant infrastructure, an increased risk of possible material damage and human losses has been identified. The results obtained can serve as a scientific basis for predicting emergency situations, managing risks, and planning preventive measures for local executive authorities and emergency services.

The findings of the study are of practical importance, aimed at minimizing the consequences of emergency situations caused by earthquakes, improving the safety of the population and ensuring the seismic stability of the region.